AFL Season Prediction

Early Prediction for 2018 Ladder

The first four rounds of this season are done and dusted! We thought we would have a shot at predicting the ladder and the finals outcome based on what we’ve seen so far. We’ll provide a predicted amount of wins for each team with best bets in the futures markets. We’ll have a go at predicting the Grand Final match up as well, and then revisit later in the season to see how our predictions went!

1st | Greater Western Sydney | 16 – 18 wins

Current position: 1st


Best bet:

2nd | Port Adelaide | 15 – 17 wins

Current position: 5th

Port’s future is in their own hands here. After their bye, Port end the season with 7 very winnable home games. Should they consolidate at home and snag a few away wins along the way, the Power will enjoy a lengthy stay up top and book a home final.

Best bet: Port Adelaide to make the top 4 / 1.90 / Sportsbet

3rd | Sydney | 14 – 16 wins

Current position: 6th


Best bet:

4th | Richmond | 14 – 16 wins

Current position: 3rd

Richmond will again be up there when it gets to the pointy end of the season. Most would have them a little higher, but we predict the Tigers to lose a few 50-50 games. Win the games at the G, which they’ve proved to be unstoppable, and they’ll play the the MCG all finals again. Easier said than done, right? We have them traveling to GWS for the first final.

Best bet: Richmond to make the top 4 / 1.90 / Sportsbet

5th | Geelong | 14 – 16 wins

Current position: 8th


Best bet:

6th | Hawthorn | 13 – 15 wins

Current position: 4th

Alastair Clarkson has again proved his genius. After not making the finals last season, the Hawks should soar into the finals this year. They finished last year strongly, proving they’ve clicked as a unit again. With Tom Mitchell breaking records for fun, and if O’Meara stays fit, we could see the Hawks again be a challenge for the rest of the competition.

Best bet: Hawthorn over 13.0 wins / 1.87 / Sportsbet

7th | Adelaide | 12 – 14 wins

Current position: 9th


Best bet:

8th | Essendon | 9 – 11 wins

Current position: 11th

Essendon are the great unknown. For years they’ve been hot and cold, and this season is no different. We have them winning enough games at home to make the finals again – just. There’ll be a tight finish again and the race for 8th spot could be decided in round 23. Play consistently like they did against Port in round 4, and they’ll do some damage come September.

Best bet: Essendon to make the 8 / 2.25 / Bet365

9th | Melbourne | 19 – 11 wins

Current position: 12th


Best bet:

10th | Fremantle | 9 – 11 wins

Current position: 13th

You can definitely see improvement in Ross Lyon’s side across the first four weeks of the competition. Are they improved enough to make finals though? We say not quite. They’re somewhat in between the side that made the Grand Final in 2014 and the side that finished bottom 4 in 2016. They’ll be in a three-way battle with Essendon and Melbourne for the 8th spot.

Best bet: Fremantle under 10 wins / 1.87 / Sportsbet

11th | West Coast | 8 – 10 wins

Current position: 2nd


Best bet:

12th | Gold Coast | 7 – 9 wins

Current position: 14th

Under Stuart Dew, we can finally see some improvement in the Suns. Not being able to play at their home ground has hurt them so far this season, but they’ve been competitive enough to win half their games so far. We can see them winning enough games to avoid a bottom 6 finish for just the second time in their history.

Best bet: Gold Coast over 7.5 wins / 1.87 / Sportsbet

13th | Western Bulldogs | 7 – 9 wins

Current position: 15th


Best bet:

14th | St Kilda | 7 – 9 wins

Current position: 16th

The Saints were tipped by many to make the 8 this season and haven’t they disappointed? Some lacklustre performances have them 16th on the ladder with just the one win. Based on current form they’ll linger down there all year, but we think they’ll win enough games to avoid a bottom 4 finish – but not enough for an elusive top 8 spot.

Best bet: St Kilda over 5.5 wins / 1.95 / Sportsbet

15th | Brisbane | 6 – 8 wins

Current position: 17th


Best bet: 

16th | Collingwood | 6 – 8 wins

Current position: 10th

A lot is being discussed at Collingwood in regards to their form and ladder position. They should be climbing up the ladder but instead they’ve dropped lower every season since Buckley’s first season in charge. They’ll come to play in patches, but it won’t be enough to satisfy the fanbase. Bottom four still lingers.

Best bet: Collingwood under 12.0 wins / 1.95 / Sportsbet

17th | North Melbourne | 5 – 7 wins

Current position: 7th


Best bet:

18th | Carlton | 2- 4 wins

Current position: 18th

Carlton fans are saying “trust the process” in Blueland. We all know rebuilds take time, and Brendan Bolton definitely is the right man for the job. Anybody who thought this year would be the year Carlton climb the ladder are unfortunately wrong. They’re still a young list and with a lack of experience and an unfortunate run with injuries, they’re still a year or two from realising their potential.

Best bet: Carlton to have most losses / 1.80 / Bet365

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